This week is not so much about getting elevated, but getting mathematically eliminated…
- New England Patriots (11–2) — Upside: Best mistake-avoidance + situational ball in the league. Downsides: Run game lacks pop • vertical shot rate low • late-drive flags crop up.
- Denver Broncos (11–2) — Upside: Top seed pace and a defense squeezing explosives. Downsides: Red-zone volatility • pressure-triggered giveaways • WR availability week to week.
- Los Angeles Rams (10–3) — Upside: Back atop the NFC with H2H edge; offense multiple. Downsides: Red-zone stalls pop up • outside-corner depth light • special teams swingy.
- Seattle Seahawks (10–3) — Upside: Pass rush + coverage in sync; road wins stack. Downsides: Early-down run inconsistency • penalty clusters • WR depth thin if injuries stack.
- Green Bay Packers (9–3–1) — Upside: Back in NFC North pole after W14 road win. Downsides: Short-yard variance • kick-coverage hiccups • timing with young WRs.
- Buffalo Bills (9–4) — Upside: Multiple offense; W14 bump up AFC ladder. Downsides: Run-fit leaks • discipline dips late • red-zone stalls vs two-high.
- Los Angeles Chargers (9–4) — Upside: Money-down offense showed grit in MNF/OT. Downsides: Pass-pro vs games/stunts • soft zone voids • week-to-week swings.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (9–4) — Upside: Defense tightening; big-game chops growing. Downsides: Goal-to-go finishing • nickel run fits • backup OT vs power.
- Chicago Bears (9–4) — Upside: Five-week surge before W14 setback; D closing space. Downsides: Drive-finishing swings • run-fit variance • four-minute offense proof.
- Philadelphia Eagles (8–5) — Upside: Lines still win leverage downs. Downsides: Slow starts • crossers stress the back end • red-zone D strain.
- San Francisco 49ers (9–4) — Upside: Front seven still tilts games; bye in W14. Downsides: Run game bottled at times • WR depth tested • third-quarter lulls.
- Detroit Lions (8–5) — Upside: LOS bully ball with explosives. Downsides: Back-end busts on crossers • red-zone swings • post-play penalties.
- Houston Texans (8–5) — Upside: Into AFC 7-seed after steady climb. Downsides: Costly late giveaways • pass-pro wobble • scoring droughts.
- Pittsburgh Steelers (7–6) — Upside: Veteran D wins leverage downs; jumped to AFC 4-seed. Downsides: Pass-pro strain • explosives arrive in spurts • red-zone creativity needed.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7–6) — Upside: Takeaway timing keeps them in control of South race. Downsides: Offense streaky vs press • WR nicks matter • close-game variance.
- Indianapolis Colts (8–5) — Upside: Ceiling intact if they stabilize post-injury. Downsides: QB injury cloud after W14 • short-yard push sputters • flags in scoring range.
- Baltimore Ravens (6–7) — Upside: Trending up in November; still live. Downsides: Finishing vs top foes • injuries compounding • late-game D can wilt.
- Kansas City Chiefs (6–7) — Upside: Defense keeps a floor. Downsides: WR churn hurts timing • red-zone bog-downs • late explosives allowed.
- Carolina Panthers (7–6) — Upside: Defense plays fast; in NFC hunt line. Downsides: QB health watch • third-down stalls • chunk runs allowed.
- Dallas Cowboys (6–6–1) — Upside: Splash-play defense preserves ceiling. Downsides: Goal-line gaffes • drops in key moments • deep-ball D vs top QBs.
- Minnesota Vikings (5–8) — Upside: Explosive upside still there in spurts. Downsides: Third-down droughts • run-fit inconsistency • protection vs heat.
- Atlanta Falcons (4–9) — Upside: Scripted offense sparks; QB mobility. Downsides: Post-script lulls • RT health ripple • few explosive runs.
- Miami Dolphins (6–7) — Upside: RB juice fueling recent bounce. Downsides: OL leaks sacks • secondary stress points • penalties pile up.
- Arizona Cardinals (3–10) — Upside: Physicality + timely rushing. Downsides: Drive finishing • handling games/stunts up front • ST hiccups.
- Cleveland Browns (3–10) — Upside: Disruptive front can still flip a game. Downsides: Red-zone finishing • light run push • few swing plays on ST.
- Washington Commanders (3–10) — Upside: Front can string stops. Downsides: Red-zone finishing • poor third-down rate • edge run fits.
- Cincinnati Bengals (4–9) — Upside: Offense can still trade haymakers. Downsides: Negative point diff • late pass-pro strain • explosives thin.
- New Orleans Saints (3–10) — Upside: Young DBs flashing in spots. Downsides: Inconsistent offense • can’t slow better attacks • early-down efficiency swings.
- New York Jets (3–10) — Upside: Run game + QB legs give a floor. Downsides: Penalties/TOs pile • no-takeaway stretches • late collapses.
- Las Vegas Raiders (2–11) — Upside: Second-half defensive adjustments. Downsides: Ground game inefficient • early coverage miscomms • flags drag drives.
- New York Giants (2–11) — Upside: Isolated drives show fight. Downsides: Protection issues linger • explosives scarce outside scheme • youth volatility.
- Tennessee Titans (1–12) — Upside: Defense keeps scores manageable. Downsides: Sacks/TOs on money downs • clunky pass timing • little second-half punch.