A solid fight for the best, a solid candidate for the worst…
- Los Angeles Rams (9–2) — Upside: Best point differential in NFC; defense travels. Downsides: Red-zone stalls pop up • turnover spikes in shootouts • depth at outside CB.
- New England Patriots (10–2) — Upside: Nine-game heater; situational masters. Downsides: Few true verticals • short-yard wobble • penalty clusters late.
- Denver Broncos (9–2) — Upside: Top-5 scoring D, eight straight without a defensive letdown. Downsides: Red-zone tradeoffs • WR availability week-to-week • occasional takeaway droughts.
- Philadelphia Eagles (8–3) — Upside: Both lines win leverage downs. Downsides: Slow starts • coverage miscomms on crossers • red-zone D stress.
- Indianapolis Colts (8–3) — Upside: Huge point diff; clean scripts. Downsides: Short-yard push can sputter • DB leverage busts • flags in scoring range.
- Seattle Seahawks (8–3) — Upside: Rush/coverage sync; explosive answers. Downsides: Early-down run inconsistency • penalties in bunches • WR depth thin if injuries stack.
- Chicago Bears (8–3) — Upside: Defense heating up; late-game poise. Downsides: Drive finishing swings • run-fit variance • four-minute offense proof.
- San Francisco 49ers (8–4) — Upside: Front seven still tilts fields. Downsides: Run game bottled at times • WR depth tested • third-quarter lulls.
- Green Bay Packers (7–3–1) — Upside: Efficient QB + stingy scoring D. Downsides: Short-yard variance • kick-coverage hiccups • timing with young WRs.
- Buffalo Bills (7–4) — Upside: Balanced, multiple on offense. Downsides: Discipline dips late • leaky run fits • red-zone stalls vs two-high.
- Detroit Lions (7–4) — Upside: LOS bully ball with explosives. Downsides: Back-end busts on crossers • red-zone swings • post-play penalties.
- Los Angeles Chargers (7–4) — Upside: Money-down offense when on schedule. Downsides: Pass-pro vs games/stunts • soft zone voids • week-to-week swings.
- Jacksonville Jaguars (7–4) — Upside: Defense tightening; clutch chops. Downsides: Goal-to-go finishing • nickel run fits • backup OT vs power.
- Kansas City Chiefs (6–5) — Upside: Defense keeps a high floor. Downsides: WR churn hurts timing • red-zone bog-downs • late explosives allowed.
- Baltimore Ravens (6–5) — Upside: Five-game surge put them back in it. Downsides: Finishing vs top foes • injuries compounding • late-game D can wilt.
- Pittsburgh Steelers (6–5) — Upside: Veteran D wins leverage downs. Downsides: Pass-pro strain • explosives come in spurts • red-zone creativity needed.
- Houston Texans (6–5) — Upside: Scrappy D; improved situational ball. Downsides: Costly late giveaways • pass-pro wobble • scoring droughts.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6–5) — Upside: Takeaway timing still a weapon. Downsides: Offense streaky vs press • WR nicks matter • close-game variance.
- Carolina Panthers (6–6) — Upside: Defensive speed shows up weekly. Downsides: QB health watch • third-down stalls • chunk runs allowed.
- Dallas Cowboys (5–5–1) — Upside: Splash-play defense keeps ceiling intact. Downsides: Goal-line gaffes • drops in key spots • deep-ball D vs top QBs.
- Miami Dolphins (4–7) — Upside: Scheme still manufactures space. Downsides: WR injuries bite • secondary stress points • penalties pile up.
- Minnesota Vikings (4–7) — Upside: Explosive upside still there. Downsides: Third-down droughts • run-fit inconsistency • protection vs heat.
- Atlanta Falcons (4–7) — Upside: Scripted offense sparks; QB mobility. Downsides: Post-script lulls • RT health ripple • few explosive runs.
- Arizona Cardinals (3–8) — Upside: Physicality + timely rushing. Downsides: Drive finishing • handling games/stunts up front • ST hiccups.
- Washington Commanders (3–8) — Upside: Front can string stops. Downsides: Red-zone finishing • poor third-down rate • edge run fits.
- Cincinnati Bengals (3–8) — Upside: Offense can still trade haymakers. Downsides: Negative point diff • late pass-pro strain • explosives thin.
- Cleveland Browns (3–8) — Upside: Disruptive front can flip a game. Downsides: Red-zone finishing • light run push • specials lack swing plays.
- Las Vegas Raiders (2–9) — Upside: Second-half defensive adjustments. Downsides: Ground game inefficient • early coverage miscomms • flags drag drives.
- New Orleans Saints (2–9) — Upside: Young DBs flashing in spots. Downsides: Inconsistent offense • can’t slow better attacks • early-down efficiency swings.
- New York Jets (2–9) — Upside: Run game + QB legs give a floor. Downsides: Penalties/TOs pile • no-takeaway stretches • late collapses.
- New York Giants (2–10) — Upside: Isolated drives show fight. Downsides: Protection issues linger • limited explosives outside scheme • youth volatility.
- Tennessee Titans (1–10) — Upside: Defense keeps scores manageable. Downsides: Sacks/TOs on money downs • clunky pass timing • little second-half punch.